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Shell Ocean Company: It is estimated that in 2026, two wells of PERDIDO SPAR operated by Shell in the Gulf of Mexico will be put into production for the first time.The USD/CHF broke through the 0.8900 mark, and the latest price was 0.8901, up 0.67% in the day.CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.

ECB sources: Some people think that the ECB overestimates economic growth. In the case of Trump's tariff increase, the economic growth next year may be less than 1%.The allocation percentage of the 30-year treasury bond auction-winning interest rate in the United States from December 12 was 44.76%, and the previous value was 14.83%. The auction of 30-year treasury bonds in the United States until December 12-the bid multiple is 2.39, and the previous value is 2.64. The auction of 30-year treasury bonds in the United States until December 12-the winning interest rate is 4.535%, and the previous value is 4.608%.UBS reduced ExxonMobil's target price from $149.00 to $147.00.

Reaffirming that the army will be mobilized to expel all illegal immigrants, Trump's latest statement revealed more details. On December 12, local time, US President-elect Trump reiterated in an interview that he plans to use the army to the maximum extent permitted by law and promote large-scale expulsion of illegal immigrants. Trump called illegal immigrants "an invasion of the country" and promised to cooperate with federal resources, including the National Guard, to quickly implement deportation. It is reported that Trump plans to declare a state of emergency, allocate resources to support this action, and may build new facilities to resettle immigrants waiting for repatriation. He also stressed that he hopes to reduce the demand for detention facilities through rapid expulsion. The analysis pointed out that although the National Guard has been used to support border patrols before, including the Democratic and Republican parties, it has not directly participated in immigration law enforcement. This time, the Trump team plans to use the military to provide support in transportation, infrastructure construction and intelligence, but the arrest will be carried out by immigration officials. Trump also suggested in the interview that he would expel all illegal immigrants in the next four years. According to data from the US Department of Homeland Security, as of January 2022, there were about 11 million illegal immigrants in the United States, and this number may increase recently. In this regard, some studies believe that the full implementation of the plan is costly, or it will have a far-reaching impact on industries that rely on immigrant labor. On November 18, local time, US President-elect Trump confirmed on the social media platform that the US military would be mobilized by declaring the country into a state of emergency, thus expelling illegal immigrants from the United States. (CCTV News)The U.S. Treasury auctioned eight-term treasury bonds, and the winning bid rate was 4.500% (4.350% on December 5), and the bid multiple was 2.81 (3.50 in the previous auction).Morgan stanley capital international's MSCI Nordic Countries Index fell 0.4% to 381.97. Evolution AB Group, an online gambling operator, fell 3.4%, which was the worst among the constituent stocks.